ICYMI **Renowned presidential predictor Allan Lichtman, who has accurately forecasted nearly every U.S. presidential election since the 1980s, has released his final prediction for the 2024 race.**
In a recent NYT Opinion video, Lichtman predicts Vice President Kamala Harris will secure the presidency in November.
According to his analysis, Harris meets most of the key to victory. Lichtman bases his forecast on his “13 Keys to the White House,” a model identifying the factors most likely to determine the election winner.
Lichtman is expected to provide further insight into his prediction during a live stream on his YouTube channel.
With just 60 days until the election, both candidates focus their efforts on critical battleground states. Polling remains divided. FiveThirtyEight shows Harris ahead by 3%, while RealClearPolitics has Trump leading by 2.3%.
ALLAN LICHTMAN’S 13 KEYS TO THE WHITE HOUSE:
** 1 Party Mandate
** 2 Contest
** 3 Incumbency
** 4 Third Party
** 5 Short-Term Economy
** 6 Long-Term Economy
** 7 Policy Change
** 8 Social Unrest
** 9 Scandal
**10 Foreign/Military Failure
**11 Foreign/Military Success
**12 Incumbent Charisma
**13 Challenger Charisma